The beta version of Authonomy is flourishing; nearly a thousand members, almost a quarter of whom have loaded books, or extracts of books. Some of the novels are very good indeed; so good I'm not sure why they're not in print already. Which got me thinking about how Harper Collins are going to use the site once it's fully up and running. Because there are two possibilities.
1. They can treat it like an online slush pile, with the better stuff conveniently shuffled to the top, and then use their normal methods of selection. Or,
2. They can use it as a way of finding slightly different novels from what they would otherwise choose; take a chance on books the site members love, but that an agent, with his specialized knowledge, would reject on various grounds.
I'd like them to go with
2, but think it unlikely. Which may turn out to be a missed opportunity. I read a fascinating article in the
Bookseller by Alison Flood,
Tops and Flops at the LBF. It's about how some of the books that got the most hyped London Book Fair deals have actually sold thus far. A few examples;
'The biggest début thriller deal of the year'; sales to date: 3,281 copies. Simon & Schuster secured the two books with a 'very high six-figure pre-emptive offer'.
Harper Collins paid seven figures for world English rights, excluding Canada, for a new novel set on a Canadian military base in the 1960s. Sales to date: 14,436
Orion bought Kate Mosse’s ‘Barbara Erskine-ish’ novel
Labyrinth in a deal rumoured to total seven figures. Sales to date: 1,076,509
The point being that agents and publishers do not always get it right. One thinks of the first print run of
Harry Potter and the Philosopher's Stone - 500.
Sometimes the public knows best. After all, it's the public who buy books. Or not.